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CMS Pub. 100-16, ch. 7, § 50

History of Risk Adjustment

activein force · 2026-08-25 – presentas-observed

The Balanced Budget Act of 1997 (BBA) mandated that a risk adjustment payment

methodology, incorporating information on beneficiaries’ health status, be implemented in the

Medicare+Choice (M+C) program (now the Medicare Advantage program) no later than January

2000. Under the BBA, risk adjustment of M+C payments was initially to be based only on data

from enrollees’ inpatient hospital stays, with later implementation of risk adjustment based on

data from additional sites of care. CMS selected the Principal Inpatient Diagnostic Cost Group

(PIP-DCG) model as the risk adjustment method to be implemented in 2000. This model

recognizes diagnoses for which inpatient care is most frequently appropriate and which are

predictive of higher future costs.

To assist managed care organizations, CMS provided for a gradual phase-in of risk adjusted

payment, initially adjusting only a portion of the total payment based on the PIP-DCG

methodology - and later the CMS Hierarchical Condition Category (HCC) methodology - with

the remainder still adjusted under the pre-BBA method based only on demographic information.

This phase in was intended to provide more stable payments to M+C organizations.

The phase in schedule was as follows:

Payment

year

MA plans Evercare* SHMO* PACE and dual

demonstrations*

2000-2003 10% risk/90%

demographic

100%

demographic

100%

demographic

100%

demographic

2004 30% risk/70% demographic

10% risk/90%

demographic

2005 50% risk/50% demographic 30% risk/70% demographic

2006 75% risk/25% demographic 50% risk/50% demographic

2007 100% risk/0% demographic 75% risk/25% demographic

2008 and

later

100% risk/0% demographic

*Note: For MA plans (formerly M+C plans), the demographic-only portion of the payment was

adjusted for age, gender, Medicaid eligibility, institutional status, and working aged status. For

certain demonstrations, the non-risk portion of the payment may have involved a demonstration-specific payment methodology.

ESRD risk adjustment was implemented at 100% in 2005. Part D risk adjustment was

implemented at 100% in 2006.

The Benefits Improvement and Protection Act of 2000 (BIPA) required the implementation of a

risk adjustment model using not only diagnoses from inpatient hospital stays, but also from

ambulatory settings beginning in 2004. The draft CMS-HCC risk adjustment payment model

was released on March 29, 2002. The CMS-HCC risk adjustment payment model incorporates

disease groups that have a significant impact on Part C expenditures. Submission of ambulatory

risk adjustment data (physician and hospital outpatient) began on October 1, 2002 for dates of

service beginning July 1, 2002. On March 28, 2003, CMS announced the proposed final version

of the CMS-HCC risk adjustment model for use in payment beginning in January 2004.

The Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement, and Modernization Act of 2003 (MMA) was

enacted in December 2003, extending prescription drug coverage to Medicare enrollees. With

the passage of the MMA, "Medicare+Choice" plans became known as Medicare Advantage

(MA) plans. In 2006, the MMA made it possible for Medicare Advantage plans to offer Part D

coverage to beneficiaries in addition to coverage comparable to Part A and Part B. The MMA

also established a bidding methodology for MA organizations and drug plans in 2006. With the

enactment of the MMA, risk adjustment was also established for the Part D program.

History

(Rev. 114, Issued; 06-07-13, Effective: 06- 07-13, Implementation: 06-07-13)

Provenance

Source
cms.gov
Retrieved
2026-08-25
Edition
iom-2026-08-25
Content hash
e01ecd561b2af07cc410197a8102a2e6efa17c84034db5facb710b596b5e750e
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